News / Polls · Elabe for Les Échos
Macron Poll: Trust Rating Falls to a Record-Low 13%
A record low within Elabe’s barometer—not a claim about every French presidential poll. Here is the question behind the headline, the full trend and the survey’s limitations.
By Amine Zidouh · Survey published November 5, 2026 · Fieldwork November 3–4, 2026. Elabe report, p. 1–2
The November wave places trust in Macron below his earlier 14% low of October 2025 and the 14% recorded for François Hollande in November 2016, according to Elabe. The historical comparison is specific to this polling series. Elabe report, p. 4
Macron Poll: the trust-rating trajectory
Monthly total trust, May 2017–November 2026. Percentage of adult respondents.
Explore all 115 monthly values and download the data
Download monthly chart data (CSV)
| Month | Trust |
|---|---|
| 2017-05 | 45% |
| 2017-06 | 45% |
| 2017-07 | 45% |
| 2017-08 | 40% |
| 2017-09 | 37% |
| 2017-10 | 40% |
| 2017-11 | 38% |
| 2017-12 | 40% |
| 2018-01 | 42% |
| 2018-02 | 38% |
| 2018-03 | 41% |
| 2018-04 | 39% |
| 2018-05 | 41% |
| 2018-06 | 40% |
| 2018-07 | 34% |
| 2018-08 | 36% |
| 2018-09 | 31% |
| 2018-10 | 30% |
| 2018-11 | 27% |
| 2018-12 | 23% |
| 2019-01 | 25% |
| 2019-02 | 27% |
| 2019-03 | 31% |
| 2019-04 | 28% |
| 2019-05 | 27% |
| 2019-06 | 32% |
| 2019-07 | 31% |
| 2019-08 | 28% |
| 2019-09 | 33% |
| 2019-10 | 33% |
| 2019-11 | 28% |
| 2019-12 | 30% |
| 2020-01 | 32% |
| 2020-02 | 31% |
| 2020-03 | 29% |
| 2020-04 | 39% |
| 2020-05 | 34% |
| 2020-06 | 33% |
| 2020-07 | 35% |
| 2020-08 | 39% |
| 2020-09 | 35% |
| 2020-10 | 32% |
| 2020-11 | 35% |
| 2020-12 | 32% |
| 2021-01 | 35% |
| 2021-02 | 36% |
| 2021-03 | 34% |
| 2021-04 | 33% |
| 2021-05 | 33% |
| 2021-06 | 36% |
| 2021-07 | 36% |
| 2021-08 | 34% |
| 2021-09 | 37% |
| 2021-10 | 35% |
| 2021-11 | 34% |
| 2021-12 | 36% |
| 2022-01 | 32% |
| 2022-02 | 35% |
| 2022-03 | 40% |
| 2022-04 | 38% |
| 2022-05 | 34% |
| 2022-06 | 32% |
| 2022-07 | 37% |
| 2022-08 | 38% |
| 2022-09 | 36% |
| 2022-10 | 32% |
| 2022-11 | 32% |
| 2022-12 | 35% |
| 2023-01 | 32% |
| 2023-02 | 30% |
| 2023-03 | 32% |
| 2023-04 | 25% |
| 2023-05 | 25% |
| 2023-06 | 29% |
| 2023-07 | 29% |
| 2023-08 | 29% |
| 2023-09 | 28% |
| 2023-10 | 27% |
| 2023-11 | 27% |
| 2023-12 | 28% |
| 2024-01 | 27% |
| 2024-02 | 25% |
| 2024-03 | 27% |
| 2024-04 | 25% |
| 2024-05 | 29% |
| 2024-06 | 24% |
| 2024-07 | 25% |
| 2024-08 | 27% |
| 2024-09 | 25% |
| 2024-10 | 22% |
| 2024-11 | 21% |
| 2024-12 | 21% |
| 2025-01 | 18% |
| 2025-02 | 21% |
| 2025-03 | 27% |
| 2025-04 | 26% |
| 2025-05 | 26% |
| 2025-06 | 24% |
| 2025-07 | 22% |
| 2025-08 | 21% |
| 2025-09 | 17% |
| 2025-10 | 14% |
| 2025-11 | 16% |
| 2025-12 | 18% |
| 2026-01 | 16% |
| 2026-02 | 19% |
| 2026-03 | 25% |
| 2026-04 | 23% |
| 2026-05 | 20% |
| 2026-06 | 26% |
| 2026-07 | 23% |
| 2026-08 | 24% |
| 2026-09 | 20% |
| 2026-10 | 17% |
| 2026-11 | 13% |
Approval rating or trust rating?
Readers often search for “Macron approval rating.” Elabe asks a narrower question: whether respondents trust the president to deal effectively with the country’s main problems. This page preserves that measure; it is neither a vote-intention poll nor a question about support for an individual policy.
Faites-vous confiance ou pas confiance au Président de la République, Emmanuel MACRON, pour affronter efficacement les principaux problèmes qui se posent au pays ?English translation: “Do you trust or not trust President Emmanuel Macron to deal effectively with the main problems facing the country?” Translation by French Politics. Elabe report, p. 7
Every response counts
| Original French response | English gloss | Share |
|---|---|---|
| Tout à fait confiance | Complete trust | 2% |
| Plutôt confiance | Some trust | 11% |
| Pas vraiment confiance | Not really trust | 22% |
| Pas confiance du tout | No trust at all | 60% |
| Sans opinion | No opinion | 5% |
Total trust = 2% + 11% = 13%. Total distrust = 22% + 60% = 82%. No opinion accounts for the remaining 5%. “No trust at all” is one response category, not total distrust. The screenshot’s historical line follows that 60% category; our main evolution chart instead follows total trust. Elabe report, p. 7–9
Who was asked, when and how?
- Pollster / client
- Elabe for Les Échos.
- Sample
- 1,004 residents of metropolitan France, aged 18 and over.
- Fieldwork / mode
- November 3–4, 2026; internet interviews.
- Sampling
- Quotas on respondent sex, age and profession, after stratification by region and urban-area category.
- Population
- Adult residents—not only registered voters, and not a stated citizenship-only sample.
Uncertainty and missing information
The report supplies a 95% margin-of-error reference table for a sample of 1,000, ranging from ±1.4 to ±3.1 points depending on the percentage. It does not give an exact interval for the 13% result. Its quota design is not a documented simple random sample; the table should not be treated as a guarantee of total survey accuracy or used for smaller subgroups. Elabe report, p. 2–3
The report does not disclose respondent-level data, subgroup respondent counts, panel provider, participation rate, weighting coefficients or full question order. It publishes substantive question wording and aggregate cross-tabulations. An asterisk flags certain small groups for cautious interpretation. Elabe report, p. 2, 11–14
Where Macron’s remaining trust comes from
| Group | Trust |
|---|---|
| Macron voters, first round 2022 | 36% |
| Macron voters, second round 2022 | 23% |
| Mélenchon voters, first round 2022 | 2% |
| Le Pen voters, first round 2022 | 2% |
| Ages 18–24 | 18% |
| Ages 25–34 | 21% |
| Ages 35–49 | 8% |
| Ages 50–64 | 11% |
| Ages 65+ | 14% |
| Managers / higher intellectual professions | 25% |
| Intermediate professions | 9% |
| Retirees | 12% |
The first- and second-round Macron electorates are different groups. Party preference is also different from reported past vote. These selected published percentages are not raw counts or proof that each difference is statistically significant.
How to read the fall
The chart records 24% trust in August, 20% in September, 17% in October and 13% in November 2026: an 11-percentage-point fall since August, not an 11% relative decrease. The report places these results in the context of social mobilizations and purchasing-power concerns, but the poll does not establish that any one event caused the fall. Elabe report, p. 4, 9
The 13% is the lowest published observation in the transcribed Macron series. A one-point numerical record does not, by itself, establish a statistically distinguishable difference from an earlier 14% reading.
Sources and document-quality notes
- Elabe’s November 2026 publication: publisher’s release and report listing.
- Original report supplied for this analysis: technical sheet p.2; error table p.3; interpretation p.4; Macron question p.7; monthly trust chart p.9; subgroup tables pp.11–12. Drive access may require permission.
- The cover and fieldwork dates identify November 2026, but repeated footers say “Octobre 2026.” The change footnote references September 29–30 while the narrative describes a one-month comparison. The chart above uses dated monthly labels on p.9; we do not silently rewrite those footnotes.
- The 25% margin-of-error example appears with two slightly different intervals. The reference-table row gives ±2.7 points, or 22.3%–27.7%. These source inconsistencies remain disclosed rather than corrected without confirmation.
Chart: original French Politics visualization of Elabe / Les Échos data. The PDF’s blue presidential series, not the separate prime-minister series, supplies all 115 observations. No historical values were inferred from the screenshot’s distrust curve.
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